Tropical Storm Philippe Wind Speed Probabilities Number 47

[Belizeans.com]

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 05 2023


000
FONT12 KNHC 050238
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
0300 UTC THU OCT 05 2023

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)

SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)

YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 5(36) X(36)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)

MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)

ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 12(29) X(29)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)

EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 14(33) X(33)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)

BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) X(14)

AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8)

PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)

PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)

HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)

PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

BERMUDA 34 X 1( 1) 30(31) 11(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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