Tropical Depression Twenty-two Forecast Advisory Number 2

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Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020


000
WTNT22 KNHC 180242
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020
0300 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020

INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 94.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 94.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 94.2W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.9N 93.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.9N 93.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 24.8N 92.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.4N 93.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.6N 94.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.7N 94.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 26.1N 95.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 26.4N 96.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 94.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG

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