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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 11 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Central East Pacific (EP98):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with an area of low pressure located several hundred
miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions are
conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression
is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while it
moves westward or northwestward at about 10 mph across the central
portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
2. Western East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Conditions
appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the next few days while moving
toward the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph across the far
western portion of the basin, crossing into the Central Pacific
basin on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
3. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of Central
America and the southern coast of Mexico in a couple of days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the early or middle part of next week while it moves
generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Bucci
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