Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 14 2018 262 WTNT25 KNHC 141441TCMAT5TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1020181500 UTC FRI SEP 14 2018THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 44.6W AT 14/1500ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NMPRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 7 KTESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MBMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.34 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 180SW 180NW.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 44.6W AT 14/1500ZAT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 44.9WFORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.3N 44.3WMAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.0N 42.9WMAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 33.2N 41.0WMAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 34.6N 38.4WMAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 36.0N 32.0WMAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NMON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAYOUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATEDREQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N 44.6WNEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z$$FORECASTER BEVEN

More...