Issued at 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018 660 WTNT31 KNHC 141750TCPAT1BULLETINHurricane Florence Intermediate Advisory Number 61ANWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018200 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018...FLORENCE MOVING SLOWLY INLAND OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NORTHCAROLINA......LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGES AND HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTSCONTINUE......CATASTROPHIC FRESHWATER FLOODING EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHAND SOUTH CAROLINA...SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...34.0N 78.4WABOUT 35 MI...55 KM WSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINAABOUT 35 MI...55 KM ENE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.58 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:None.SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...* South Santee River South Carolina to Duck North Carolina* Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds, including the Neuse and PamlicoRiversA Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...* Edisto Beach South Carolina to South Santee River South CarolinaA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...* South Santee River South Carolina to Bogue Inlet North Carolina* Pamlico SoundA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...* Edisto Beach South Carolina to South Santee River South CarolinaA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Edisto Beach South Carolina to South Santee River South Carolina* Bogue Inlet North Carolina to Duck North Carolina* Albemarle SoundInterests elsewhere in the southeastern and mid-Atlantic statesshould monitor the progress of Florence.For storm information specific to your area, including possibleinland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by yourlocal National Weather Service forecast office.DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Florence waslocated near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 78.4 West. Florence isnow moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow westward towest-southwestward motion is expected today through Saturday. On theforecast track, the center of Florence will move farther inlandacross extreme southeastern North Carolina today, and across extremeeastern South Carolina tonight and Saturday. Florence will thenmove generally northward across the western Carolinas and thecentral Appalachian Mountains early next week.Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)with higher gusts, mainly over water. Gradual weakening is forecastlater today and tonight. Significant weakening is expected over theweekend and into early next week while Florence moves fartherinland.Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) fromthe center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 170miles (280 km). A wind gust to 66 mph (106 km/h) was recentlyreported at the National Ocean Service station in WrightsvilleBeach, and a 75 mph (121 km/h) was recently reported at aWeatherflow site just north of Cape Fear at Federal Point. Fartherinland across North Carolina, a wind gust of 60 mph (96 km/h) wasrecently at the Fayetteville airport.The estimated minimum central pressure based on surfaceobservations is 968 mb (28.58 inches).HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and thetide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded byrising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has thepotential to reach the following heights above ground...Cape Fear NC to Cape Lookout NC...7-11 ft, with locally higheramounts in the Neuse, Pamlico, Pungo, and Bay RiversCape Lookout NC to Ocracoke Inlet NC...6-9 ftSouth Santee River SC to Cape Fear NC...4-6 ftOcracoke Inlet NC to Salvo NC...4-6 ftSalvo NC to Duck NC...2-4 ftEdisto Beach SC to South Santee River SC...2-4 ftThe deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas ofonshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large anddestructive waves. Surge-related flooding can vary greatly overshort distances. For information specific to your area, please seeproducts issued by your local National Weather Service forecastoffice.RAINFALL: Florence is expected to produce heavy and excessiverainfall in the following areas...Southeastern coastal North Carolina into far northeastern SouthCarolina...an additional 20 to 25 inches, with isolated storm totalsof 30 to 40 inches. This rainfall will produce catastrophic flashflooding and prolonged significant river flooding.Remainder of South Carolina and North Carolina into southwestVirginia...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches. This rainfall willproduce life-threatening flash flooding.Rainfall totals exceeding 16 inches thus far have been reported atseveral locations across southeastern North Carolina.WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring over portions of thehurricane warning area near the coast in extreme southeasternCarolina. Tropical storm conditions are occurring over largeportions of eastern North Carolina and extreme eastern SouthCarolina.TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible in eastern North Carolinatoday.SURF: Swells generated by Florence are affecting Bermuda, portionsof the U.S. East Coast, and the northwestern and central Bahamas.These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and ripcurrent conditions. Please consult products from your local weatheroffice.NEXT ADVISORY-------------Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.$$Forecaster Stewart

More...