Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 000WTNT25 KNHC 190239TCMAT5TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1020190300 UTC THU SEP 19 2019CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...NONE.SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* BARBUDA* ANGUILLA* ST. MAARTEN* ST. MARTIN* ST. BARTHELEMY* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUSA TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITORTHE PROGRESS OF JERRY. ADDITIONAL WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED ONTHURSDAY.TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 51.8W AT 19/0300ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NMPRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MBMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 51.8W AT 19/0300ZAT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 51.2WFORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.2N 53.9WMAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.3N 56.7WMAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 59.7WMAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.7N 62.7WMAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.4N 67.3WMAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NMON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAYOUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.7N 70.0WMAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.0N 69.0WMAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 51.8WINTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0600ZNEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z$$FORECASTER PASCH

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