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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jul 18 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to be limited
at this time. Environmental conditions could become a little more
more conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
could form early next week before the system reaches cooler waters.
This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing an
elongated area of showers and thunderstorms. This system remains
disorganized, and conditions are becoming less conducive for
tropical cyclone formation. The low is expected to move
west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Avila






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