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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jul 17 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf
of Tehuantepec is producing a few disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a
little more conducive for gradual development late this week, and a
tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week.
This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms centered
about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula is associated with a tropical wave. Upper-level
winds appear to be somewhat conducive for some slow development
during the next few days while the disturbance moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Brown






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