Issued at 700 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 000WTNT32 KNHC 141140TCPAT2BULLETINTropical Storm Barry Intermediate Advisory Number 16ANWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019700 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019...BARRY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA......LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING RAINS THE PRIMARY THREAT...SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...31.4N 93.4WABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W OF PEASON RIDGE LOUISIANAABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SSE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...None.SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Morgan City to CameronA Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...* Intracoastal City to Mouth of Atchafalaya RiverA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions areexpected somewhere within the warning.A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threateninginundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in theindicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk please seethe National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphicavailable at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actionsto protect life and property from rising water and the potential forother dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and otherinstructions from local officials.For storm information specific to your area, including possibleinland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by yourlocal National Weather Service forecast office.DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Barry waslocated near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 93.4 West. Barry ismoving toward the north near 6 mph (10 km/h), and this generalmotion is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecasttrack, the center of Barry will move across the western and northernportions of Louisiana today, and over Arkansas tonight and Monday.NOAA Doppler weather radar data and surface observations indicatethat maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) withhigher gusts. These winds are occurring near the coast to thesoutheast of the center. Weakening is expected as the center movesfarther inland, and Barry is forecast to weaken to a tropicaldepression later today.Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)mainly over water to the southeast of the center. A sustained windof 39 mph (63 km/h) was recently reported at Cypremort Point,Louisiana, located in Vermilion Bay.The estimated minimum central pressure based on surfaceobservations is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------Key Messages for Barry can be found in the Tropical CycloneDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and thetide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded byrising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water couldreach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicatedareas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...Intracoastal City to the Mouth of the Atchafalaya River...1 to 3 ftMouth of the Atchafalaya River to Biloxi MS, including LakePontchartrain...Water levels are decreasing to normal levels asthe storm moves inland.RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce total rain accumulations of6 to 12 inches over south-central Louisiana, with isolated maximumamounts of 20 inches. Across the remainder of the Lower MississippiValley, total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected, withisolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall is expected tolead to dangerous, life-threatening flooding.WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring across portions ofthe Tropical Storm Warning area, and these conditions will persistthrough the morning.TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible today acrossportions of Louisiana, Mississippi, western Alabama, and easternArkansas.NEXT ADVISORY-------------Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.$$Forecaster Stewart

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