Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019 000WTNT32 KNHC 140240TCPAT2BULLETINTropical Storm Barry Advisory Number 15NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL0220191000 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND WIND CONDITIONS CONTINUING ACROSS THENORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST......HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED TO SPREADNORTHWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...31.0N 93.0WABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SW OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...The Tropical Storm Warning from the Mouth of the Mississippi Riverto east of Grand Isle has been discontinued.SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Grand Isle to Cameron* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan NewOrleansA Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...* Intracoastal City to Biloxi* Lake PontchartrainA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions areexpected somewhere within the warning.A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threateninginundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in theindicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk please seethe National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphicavailable at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actionsto protect life and property from rising water and the potential forother dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and otherinstructions from local officials.For storm information specific to your area, including possibleinland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by yourlocal National Weather Service forecast office.DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Barry waslocated near latitude 31.0 North, longitude 93.0 West. Barry ismoving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turntoward the north is expected on Sunday, and this general motionshould continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the centerof Barry will move across central Louisiana tonight, throughnorthern Louisiana on Sunday, and over Arkansas Sunday nightand Monday.Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)with higher gusts, and these winds are occurring near the coastto the southeast of the center. Additional weakening is expectedas the center moves farther inland, and Barry is forecast to weakento a depression on Sunday.Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)mainly over water to the southeast of the center.The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------Key Messages for Barry can be found in the Tropical CycloneDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and thetide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded byrising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water couldreach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicatedareas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...Intracoastal City to Shell Beach...3 to 6 ftShell Beach to Biloxi MS...3 to 5 ftLake Pontchartrain...3 to 5 ftBiloxi MS to the Mississippi/Alabama border...1 to 3 ftLake Maurepas...1 to 3 ftSurge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surgeand the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Forinformation specific to your area, please see products issued byyour local National Weather Service forecast office.RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce total rain accumulations of8 to 15 inches over south-central Louisiana and southwestMississippi, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. Across theremainder of the Lower Mississippi Valley, total rain accumulationsof 4 to 8 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 12inches. This rainfall is expected to lead to dangerous, life-threatening flooding.WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring across portions ofthe Tropical Storm Warning area, and these conditions should persistinto Sunday morning. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force insqualls are possible along portions of the coasts of Mississippi,Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle through tonight.TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through Sunday acrossportions of Louisiana, southern and western Mississippi, andsouthern and eastern Arkansas.NEXT ADVISORY-------------Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.$$Forecaster Brown

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