Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 000WTNT24 KNHC 112050TCMAT4TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1420182100 UTC THU OCT 11 2018CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHCAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINAA TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDSA TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THECOASTLINE.TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 78.8W AT 11/2100ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NMPRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 KTESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MBMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.34 KT....... 0NE 200SE 60SW 40NW.12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 270SE 0SW 0NW.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 78.8W AT 11/2100ZAT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 80.0WFORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 38.1N 74.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPMAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.34 KT... 60NE 240SE 120SW 90NW.FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 41.2N 66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPMAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.50 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.34 KT...100NE 270SE 180SW 110NW.FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 44.5N 55.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPMAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.50 KT... 0NE 180SE 150SW 0NW.34 KT...120NE 360SE 270SW 110NW.FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 47.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPMAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.50 KT... 0NE 210SE 210SW 0NW.34 KT...150NE 360SE 360SW 150NW.FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 48.5N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPMAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.50 KT... 0NE 210SE 150SW 0NW.34 KT...150NE 360SE 360SW 150NW.EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NMON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAYOUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 46.5N 7.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPMAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATEDREQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N 78.8WNEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z$$FORECASTER BROWN

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