Tropical Storm Sebastien Forecast Advisory Number 8

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Issued at 0900 UTC THU NOV 21 2019


000
WTNT25 KNHC 210831
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019
0900 UTC THU NOV 21 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 61.2W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 61.2W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 61.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 24.5N 59.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 80SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 26.6N 56.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.4N 52.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 32.4N 47.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 120SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 38.6N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 61.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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