Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 05 2023
000
WTNT22 KNHC 051453
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
1500 UTC THU OCT 05 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 66.3W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 66.3W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 66.3W
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 27.7N 66.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 30.9N 66.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.2N 66.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 40SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 37.6N 66.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 70SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 41.8N 66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 47.4N 68.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 66.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
More...
000
WTNT22 KNHC 051453
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
1500 UTC THU OCT 05 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 66.3W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 66.3W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 66.3W
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 27.7N 66.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 30.9N 66.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.2N 66.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 40SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 37.6N 66.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 70SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 41.8N 66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 47.4N 68.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 66.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
More...