Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 05 2023
133
WTNT22 KNHC 050842
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
0900 UTC THU OCT 05 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 65.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 65.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 65.9W
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.7N 66.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 170SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 30.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 33.3N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 36.7N 66.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 80SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 40.2N 66.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...230NE 210SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 45.2N 67.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 40SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 50.5N 76.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 65.9W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
More...
133
WTNT22 KNHC 050842
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
0900 UTC THU OCT 05 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 65.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 65.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 65.9W
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.7N 66.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 170SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 30.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 33.3N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 36.7N 66.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 80SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 40.2N 66.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...230NE 210SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 45.2N 67.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 40SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 50.5N 76.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 65.9W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
More...