Tropical Storm Philippe Forecast Advisory Number 47

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Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 05 2023


000
WTNT22 KNHC 050236
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
0300 UTC THU OCT 05 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 66.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 120SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 66.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 66.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 25.4N 66.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.4N 66.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 31.9N 65.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 35.3N 66.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 39.0N 66.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 43.3N 67.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 51.6N 73.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 66.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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