Tropical Storm Philippe Forecast Advisory Number 46

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Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 04 2023


000
WTNT22 KNHC 042037
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
2100 UTC WED OCT 04 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 65.9W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 65.9W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 65.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 24.0N 66.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.6N 66.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.8N 65.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 33.3N 65.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 0SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 36.9N 65.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 60SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 40.9N 65.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 50.5N 69.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 65.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG

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