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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 11 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Central East Pacific (EP98):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest
of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and
a few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form late this weekend or early next week while it moves
westward or northwestward at about 10 mph across the central portion
of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
2. Western East Pacific:
Another tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development
of this system is possible during the next several days while it
moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the far
western portion of the basin, crossing into the Central Pacific
basin on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
3. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of Central
America in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form during the early or middle part of next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the
coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Forecaster Berg
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