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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Aug 10 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Central East Pacific (EP98):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern
Mexico have become a little better organized since yesterday.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this
weekend or early next week while it moves generally westward at
about 15 mph across the central portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
2. Western East Pacific:
Another tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing some disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is
possible during the next several days while it moves westward at 10
to 15 mph across the far western portion of the basin and into the
Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
3. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of Central
America in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form during the early or middle part of next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the
coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Forecaster Pasch
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