NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Ten-E, located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An area of low pressure is located about 200 miles south of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have decreased since last
night. However, environmental conditions are still expected to be
favorable for another day or so and a tropical depression is likely
to form while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph. The disturbance is forecast to move over colder
waters over the weekend and further development is unlikely after
that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Another area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low
pressure is located nearly 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are
expected to be favorable for the development of this system and it
will likely become a tropical depression while it moves slowly
northward during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

3. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized
showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of
Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low
pressure system to develop from this trough over the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or
early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward
just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky

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