Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 28 2020
000
FONT13 KNHC 281449
PWSAT3
HURRICANE ZETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020
1500 UTC WED OCT 28 2020
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ZETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS
...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 20(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ATLANTA GA 34 X 57(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
ATLANTA GA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ST MARKS FL 34 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
APALACHICOLA 34 4 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 5 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 7 42(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
COLUMBUS GA 34 1 53(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
COLUMBUS GA 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 2 47(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 4 84(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
MONTGOMERY AL 50 X 27(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MONTGOMERY AL 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
WHITING FLD FL 34 11 66(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
WHITING FLD FL 50 1 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PENSACOLA FL 34 16 61(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
PENSACOLA FL 50 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 15 11(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
MOBILE AL 34 72 26(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
MOBILE AL 50 3 59(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
MOBILE AL 64 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GULFPORT MS 34 96 4(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GULFPORT MS 50 52 28(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
GULFPORT MS 64 7 19(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
STENNIS MS 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
STENNIS MS 50 77 6(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
STENNIS MS 64 19 6(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BURAS LA 50 86 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
BURAS LA 64 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JACKSON MS 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 58 X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
GFMX 280N 910W 64 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 52 X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAKE CHARLES 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAMERON LA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 30 47(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
PENSACOLA NAS 50 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
KEESLER AB 34 94 6(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KEESLER AB 50 41 40(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
KEESLER AB 64 4 17(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
More...
000
FONT13 KNHC 281449
PWSAT3
HURRICANE ZETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020
1500 UTC WED OCT 28 2020
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ZETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS
...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 20(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ATLANTA GA 34 X 57(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
ATLANTA GA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ST MARKS FL 34 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
APALACHICOLA 34 4 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 5 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 7 42(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
COLUMBUS GA 34 1 53(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
COLUMBUS GA 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 2 47(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 4 84(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
MONTGOMERY AL 50 X 27(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MONTGOMERY AL 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
WHITING FLD FL 34 11 66(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
WHITING FLD FL 50 1 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PENSACOLA FL 34 16 61(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
PENSACOLA FL 50 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 15 11(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
MOBILE AL 34 72 26(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
MOBILE AL 50 3 59(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
MOBILE AL 64 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GULFPORT MS 34 96 4(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GULFPORT MS 50 52 28(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
GULFPORT MS 64 7 19(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
STENNIS MS 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
STENNIS MS 50 77 6(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
STENNIS MS 64 19 6(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BURAS LA 50 86 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
BURAS LA 64 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JACKSON MS 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 58 X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
GFMX 280N 910W 64 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 52 X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAKE CHARLES 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAMERON LA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 30 47(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
PENSACOLA NAS 50 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
KEESLER AB 34 94 6(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KEESLER AB 50 41 40(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
KEESLER AB 64 4 17(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
More...