Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
000
FONT15 KNHC 180237
PWSAT5
HURRICANE TEDDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
0300 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 39(42)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 52(54) 24(78) 1(79)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 23(47) X(47)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) X(28)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
More...
000
FONT15 KNHC 180237
PWSAT5
HURRICANE TEDDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
0300 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 39(42)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 52(54) 24(78) 1(79)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 23(47) X(47)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) X(28)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
More...