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View Full Version : Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory Number 14



Belizeans.com
09-19-2017, 10:54 AM
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 000WTNT25 KNHC 191447TCMAT5HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1520171500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...NONE.SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* GUADELOUPE* DOMINICA* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND MONTSERRAT* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS* PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUESA TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS* ST. MAARTEN* ANGUILLA* MARTINIQUEA HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS* ST. MAARTEN* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY* ANGUILLA* ISLA SAONA TO PUERTO PLATAA TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITIBORDERA HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTEDSOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE ANDPROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLEWITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURSBEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCEWINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT ORDANGEROUS.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...ANDTHE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY.HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 63.1W AT 19/1500ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NMPRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KTESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 927 MBEYE DIAMETER 10 NMMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.34 KT.......120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 63.1W AT 19/1500ZAT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 62.7WFORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.0N 64.1WMAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.0N 65.7WMAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.8N 67.1WMAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.6N 68.4WMAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.5N 70.5WMAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NMON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAYOUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 24.5N 72.0WMAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 27.5N 72.5WMAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 63.1WNEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z$$FORECASTER BEVEN

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