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View Full Version : Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory Number 10



Belizeans.com
09-18-2017, 03:02 PM
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 18 2017 000WTNT25 KNHC 182047TCMAT5HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1520172100 UTC MON SEP 18 2017CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES.THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ST. LUCIA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANEWARNING FOR THAT ISLAND TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANEWATCH FROM ISLA SAONA TO PUERTO PLATA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCHWEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITIBORDER.SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* GUADELOUPE* DOMINICA* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND MONTSERRAT* MARTINIQUE* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS* PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUESA TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS* ST. MAARTEN* ANGUILLA* ST. LUCIAA HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS* ST. MAARTEN* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY* ANGUILLA* ISLA SAONA TO PUERTO PLATAA TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES* WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITIBORDERA HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTEDSOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE ANDPROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLEWITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURSBEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCEWINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT ORDANGEROUS.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OFTHIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATERTONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 60.7W AT 18/2100ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NMPRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KTESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MBEYE DIAMETER 10 NMMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.34 KT.......110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 90SW 150NW.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 60.7W AT 18/2100ZAT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 60.4WFORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.7N 61.9WMAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.5N 63.3WMAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.3N 64.7WMAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.2N 66.2W...OVER PUERTO RICOMAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.0N 69.0W...OVER WATERMAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NMON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAYOUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.0N 71.5WMAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 25.0N 73.0WMAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 60.7WNEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z$$FORECASTER BEVEN

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