View Full Version : Tropical Storm COLIN Public Advisory Number 5A

06-06-2016, 11:55 AM
Issued at 100 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2016 000WTNT33 KNHC 061751TCPAT3BULLETINTROPICAL STORM COLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5ANWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016100 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2016...BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS APPROACHING SOUTHWESTFLORIDA AND THE KEYS...SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...27.7N 86.5WABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDAABOUT 245 MI...395 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:NoneSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Indian Pass to Englewood* Sebastian Inlet Florida to South Santee River South CarolinaInterests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the UnitedStates should monitor the progress of Colin. Additional warningsor watches may be required for parts of this area later today.For storm information specific to your area, including possibleinland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by yourlocal National Weather Service forecast office.DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin wasestimated near latitude 27.7 North, longitude 86.5 West. Colin ismoving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turntoward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expectedby this evening, and a rapid northeastward motion is expectedovernight and Tuesday. On this track, the center of Colin isforecast to approach the coast of the Florida Big Bend area latethis afternoon or evening, move across portions of Florida andsoutheastern Georgia early Tuesday morning, and move near thesoutheastern coast of the United States later on Tuesday. However,it's important to note that the strongest winds and heaviest rainsare well removed from the center.Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gustsin rainbands located well to the east and southeast of the center.Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple ofdays.Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 250 miles (400 km)to the southeast of the center.The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------RAINFALL: Colin is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible across thenortheastern Yucatan peninsula, western Cuba, western to northernFlorida, southeastern Georgia, and coastal areas of the Carolinasthrough Tuesday.STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide willcause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by risingwaters. The water could reach the following heights above ground ifthe peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...Indian Pass to Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft with slightly higher amountspossible in a few locations.Tampa Bay south to Florida Bay...1 to 2 ft.Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf are possible along theAtlantic coast from Florida to South Carolina within the tropicalstorm warning area.The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surgeand the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Forinformation specific to your area, please see products issued byyour local National Weather Service forecast office.WIND: Brief squalls with winds to near tropical storm force willbe moving through portions of the Florida Keys this afternoon.Tropical storm conditions reached the west coast of the Floridapeninsula this morning, and will continue through this evening.Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the warning areaalong the Atlantic coast by early Tuesday.TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight acrossportions of Florida and far southern Georgia.NEXT ADVISORY-------------Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.$$Forecaster Brown

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