View Full Version : Tropical Depression BONNIE Forecast Discussion Number 32

06-04-2016, 09:18 AM
Issued at 1100 AM AST SAT JUN 04 2016 000WTNT42 KNHC 041434TCDAT2TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 32NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0220161100 AM AST SAT JUN 04 2016Bonnie appears to be weakening. The small burst of deep convectionthat occurred overnight has been shrinking, and the system isnow devoid of significant thunderstorm activity. Based on thedegraded structure of the system, the initial wind speed has beenlowered to 30 kt, making Bonnie a tropical depression once again.The depression is over cold water and in a high wind shearenvironment. Since these environmental conditions are not expectedto change, Bonnie is forecast to degenerate into a remnant lowby tonight. The remnant low will likely open into a trough withinthe next couple of days.The small cyclone is moving eastward at about 12 kt in themid-latitude westerlies. An eastward to east-southeastward motionat a slightly faster forward speed is expected until Bonniedissipates. Little change was made to the previous track prediction,and the official forecast lies close to a consensus of the GFS andECMWF models.FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 04/1500Z 35.6N 66.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/0000Z 35.1N 64.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 05/1200Z 34.6N 60.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/0000Z 34.1N 57.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED$$Forecaster Cangialosi

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